Thursday, October 30, 2014

Put on a Happy Face: Stocks Dip as Optimistic Fed Ends Bond Buying

That went remarkably well. The Federal Reserve released a hawk-tinged statement from its October FOMC meeting–and stocks bent but did not break.

Associated Press

The S&P 500 dipped 0.1% to 1,982.30 today, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average has slipped 0.2% to 16,974.31. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.3% to 4,549.23.

Here’s what happened: As expected, the Fed ended its bond buying, but left the “considerable time” between the end of asset purchases and the first rate hike intact. A little more surprising: It painted an alnost rosy picture of the U.S. economy that all but ignored the market turmoil of the last month. The Fed called the risks to the job outlook and economy “nearly balanced,” spotted “solid job gains” and noted that the “underutilization of labor resources. is gradually diminishing.” CRT Capital’s David Ader takes it all in:

Bottom line is that this is a bit more optimistic than before with some enthusiasm for labor market and household spending.  Inflation remains an issue and mentions energy and ‘other’ factors (presumably the dollar) and so that extends this concern a bit as does the idea of “Market-based measures of inflation compensation having declined  (whatever that is). We look for extended period to disappear in Dec or very very soon so that’s moot point.  Note that distant Fed fund futures are very little changed which makes sense.

ISI Group’s Dennis DeBusschere hopes the Fed is reading things right:

…although inflation is clearly front and center, they are for now talking about temporary influences, and they note that labor underutilization is gradually diminishing. Hope they are correct on inflation expectations being wrong and temporary influences keeping inflation low. Market could react very poorly to inflation exp being correct and influences being more than just temporary.

Making the market’s recent gains temporary, too.

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Starbucks Earnings Preview: Can It Execute on These 3 Things?


Starbucks' growth in the coming years is about more than just coffee. Source: Teavana.

It's hard to fathom, but at more than 20,500 stores and $16 billion in annual sales, Starbucks  (NASDAQ: SBUX  ) still considers itself a growth company. Considering that it has grown net revenues about 12% per year over the past five years -- a rate that doubles sales every six years -- it's probably not a stretch to think that it just might be.

However, a company already this large has to work a lot harder -- and smarter -- to keep up the growth rate. With earnings for the fourth quarter and full year set to release on Thursday, Oct. 30, what can investors expect? Well, with the global economy still in a bit of a funk in many places, it's a little tough to know exactly what to expect. However, the short-term results are less important than progress on the long-term goals. Here are three things we will get an update on in the earnings release and conference call that probably matter the most for the long term.

1. All about Asia 


Starbucks employees at a company event. Source: Starbucks.

Management made it pretty clear how important Asian expansion is when it acquired the remaining stake in Starbucks Japan about a month ago, bringing the current 1,000-plus stores there under company control, and smoothing the path for forward growth. Furthermore, the company's pace of store expansion in all of Asia is outpacing all other markets. Last quarter, the company announced that it had opened 160 new stores in Asia, 34% more than a year ago, and 11 more than it opened in the Americas. As a comparison, the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region -- called EMEA -- combined for a net 37 new stores opened last quarter. 

Part of the reason in the divergence between Asia and EMEA can be seen the historical results. Starbucks' stores in Europe have historically performed worse than other markets, as reflected in the most recent comps growth of 3%, less than half that of the consolidated business. Furthermore, the CAP region has carried historically strong margins and operating income versus EMEA. 

It's also a market with huge room to grow, based on current store counts:


Source: Starbucks 2013 annual report.

China and India alone have more than 2 billion residents combined and will be the home to hundreds of millions of new members of the middle class over the next decade or so, and the company's only presence in India so far is limited to a single joint venture, while China has over 1,000 stores. Look for further clarity on Starbucks' expansion plans for Asia in 2015: This market should become the company's second-largest next year, on the back of an expected 750 new stores opened in 2014, and 800 in 2015.

2. Americas growth; EMEA stabilization


Typical scene at a Starbucks. Source: Texas A&M, Corpus Christi.

Of the 13,000-plus stores in the Americas, almost all of them are in North America, except for 70 company-owned stores in Brazil, and 207 listed as "other" in the 2014 annual report. CFO Scott Maw announced that the company will open 650 stores in the Americas on the Q3 earnings call, but we will probably get updated guidance on that this week. 

How much of that growth will take place in the U.S. versus further into Latin America? Frankly, this is a relatively untapped market outside of Brazil and Mexico. Either way you look at it, it's pretty clear that with comps still in the high single digits, this market is not yet mature. Again, as with the PAC region, I'm looking for more detail on Starbucks' expansion plans in the region. 

Additionally, and just as important, is seeing further stabilization of the business in Europe. Comps of 3% aren't good, frankly, but it's important to consider that much of Europe has yet to fully recover from the recession. In the Q3 earnings call, management did state that comps in the U.K. and Germany -- easily the two strongest economies in Europe -- were better than the rest of EMEA, which bodes well. Furthermore, both margins and operating income were drastically better last quarter than the year-ago period. Ideally, this trend will continue this quarter. 

3. All the other stuff


Source: Starbucks.

Remember when you used to go to Starbucks to drink coffee?

Starbucks has introduced a lot of new products to its stores over the past several years, ranging from new food options to non-coffee beverage choices. For the most part, management has done a pretty solid job of integrating these things into the Starbucks experience, enhancing it without changing it. It is important that the company continues to execute on that strategy going forward. 

I think a big part of the growth in China and India, and even here in the Americas, will be how well it is able to expand its alternatives, especially teas. Currently, there are more than 300 Teavana stores, but it's important to remember that Teavana sells teas but isn't a place to go to drink tea, like Starbucks is a place to drink coffee and socialize, relax, or work. As Starbucks expands its business overseas into traditional tea cultures, it will be interesting to see how much emphasis is put on offering teas and other beverages besides its famous coffee drinks. 

The bigger-picture question: Can management successfully integrate so much stuff in international markets as it has in North America? That will matter as time passes, because it will need to keep pulling these levers for future growth. 

Focus on the big picture
While it's clearly important that Starbucks continues to be an excellent operator, the bigger-picture concern, to me, is seeing the company continue to execute on its growth initiatives. Those initiatives are about more than just building more stores -- they also include how well the company can leverage all of its product offerings to drive profitable growth in the coming years. 

Starbucks is already huge, but there's room to keep growing, if management can keep making the right calls. 

 

Apple Watch revealed: The real winner is inside
Apple recently revealed the product of its secret-development "dream team" -- the Apple Watch. The secret is out, and some early viewers are claiming that its everyday impact could trump the iPod, iPhone, and the iPad. In fact, ABI Research predicts that 485 million of this type of device will be sold per year. But one small company makes Apple's gadget possible. And its stock price has nearly unlimited room to run for early in-the-know investors. To be one of them, and see where the real money is to be made, just click here!

 

Monday, October 27, 2014

My 5 Favorite Stocks With Dividend Growth Of The Week

During the past Week, 64 companies increased their dividend payments. The biggest stocks are AbbVie (ABBV), Visa (V), Halliburton (HAL), Energy Transfer Equity (ETE) and the apparel company V.F. Corporation (VFC).

Four stocks from the dividend growers list have a forward P/E of less than 10 and eleven have a dividend yield over 5 percent. Below are my five favorites. You might agree or not.

Most of them are different and they don't look like real Dividend Aristocrats or Dividend Champions as in the past articles.

My focus for this selection was mainly on Large Cap. I personally have no shares of them and don't plan to buy some in the near future, but it's always good to know which companies have hiked dividends because in five years or so, they could become a new Dividend Challenger.

Big names on the Buyback side were Pfizer (PFE), AbbVie, Canadian National Railway (CNI), Parker Hannfin (PH), Nielsen (NLSN) and CarMax (KMX).

In total, 27 stocks announced a new, additional or increased share buyback program. The total buyback volume for the future is over USD $25 billion.

#1 Seagate Technology (NASDAQ:STX) has a market capitalization of $18.43 billion. The company employs 52,100 people, generates revenue of $13.724 billion and has a net income of $1.570 billion.

Seagate Technology's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) amount to $2.679 billion. The EBITDA margin is 19.52 percent (the operating margin is 12.94 percent and the net profit margin 11.44 percent).

Financials: The total debt represents 41.30 percent of Seagate Technology's assets and the total debt in relation to the equity amounts to 138.42 percent. Due to the financial situation, a return on equity of 49.63 percent was realized by Seagate Technology.

Twelve trailing months earnings per share reached a value of $4.52. Last fiscal year, Seagate Technology paid $1.67 in the form of dividends to shareholders.

Market Valuation: Here are the price ratios of the company: The P/E ratio is 12.91, the P/S ratio is 1.34 and the P/B ratio is finally 6.52. The dividend yield amounts to 3.82 percent and the beta ratio has a value of 2.47. See #2 - #5 here:

Sunday, October 26, 2014

Money.net CEO Thinks That Crude Oil Could Drop Below $70

In an interview on CNBC, Morgan Downey, the CEO of Money.net, said that a battle is currently going on between the U.S. frackers and the OPEC. This is the first time in history that crude oil is on decline and the OPEC is saying absolutely nothing. That is highly unusual, thinks Downey.

In his previous interview on CNBC, a month ago, Downey successfully predicted a decline to $80 for crude oil. Now, he believes that the downturn in crude oil could continue to mid to high 60s, unless OPEC or the U.S. frackers cut their production.

Downey explained that low oil prices are usually good for consumers, but frackers have been the source of growth in the U.S. employment in the last two years and low oil prices could offset any gains to the U.S. consumption.

Posted-In: Money.net Morgan DowneyCNBC Commodities Markets Media

© 2014 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

  Related Articles Chiquita Rejects Merger With Fyffes, Sources Speculate Discussions With Cultrale/Safra Finalized Amazon Analyst Roundup Following Q3 Earnings Morgan Stanley Offers Comments On Ford Following Earnings Morgan Stanley: 'Something's Not Right' At General Motors How This 19-Year-Old Student Balances Momentum Trading With College Riverbed Technology Deal Seen Early In 2015 Around the Web, We're Loving... World Cup Championship of Binary Options! Huanity's Last Great Hope: Venture Capitalists Don't Miss The Next Webinar to Advance your Trading Will Apple Redefine How We Shop? What Did Josh Brown Say On Our Morning Show? We're Now Hiring Journalists for our Newsdesk! View the discussion thread.

Friday, October 24, 2014

How to avoid homebuyer's remorse

homebuyers regrets The most common homeowner complaint is that the house is too small. NEW YORK (CNNMoney) Big purchases often come with big expectations.

So it's no wonder that in a recent survey of 2,000 homebuyers, a whopping 80% said they regretted at least one thing about their home.

The number one complaint: The home just isn't big enough, mortgage information site HSH.com found. Others complained about a lack of closet space or that the place didn't have enough bathrooms. Bad neighbors were also a problem, as was a substandard school system.

A lot of those issues could have been avoided.

Take Kenny Kline, who thought he got a bargain on a fifth floor walk-up apartment in Brooklyn, N.Y., last year. At $720,000, the two-bedroom seemed like a good deal in Brooklyn's competitive real estate market.

But walking up and down the five flights of stairs grew tiresome quickly.

"I'm only 29 so I thought I could handle it, but trudging up those stairs multiple times a day with groceries, packages, furniture, whatever, has really taken its toll," he said. "Then, I hurt my back. That made the epic journey up and down even more insufferable."

He plans to "tough it out for at least another year," he said, not wanting to repeat the moving process -- and all of the costs involved -- so soon.

Of course, some factors, like bad neighbors, can't be anticipated. And some conditions change over time. Nearby property may be developed into a shopping mall or freeway, for instance.

For Amanda Haddaway and her husband, privacy became a big issue when they lived in their Frederick, Md., townhouse. They could look out their windows right into the units of neighbors, who could look into the Haddaway's home just as easily.

The two also needed more space. When they had moved in together, the townhouse just couldn't accommodate their combined stuff.

So they sold the home and built a big, new one on a six-acre lot in Woodsboro, Md.

"It's definitely much more peaceful where we live now; our closest neighbors are a half mile away," said Haddaway. "And we've been able to get rid of our storage unit."

Freelance writer Lauren Bowling bought a house in Atlanta in July 2013 when she was still with her fiancé. But three months later, they broke up.

"I don't hate my house but, as a single woman, it is way more space, upkeep and energy than I need right now," she said.

She intends to keep it for a while since she'd like to try to recoup some of the money she spent on the purchase and renovations.

To keep you from buying a home you'll regret, Brendon DiSimone, a New York-based real estate broker and author of Next Generation Real Estate, offers up these tips.

Don't give in on your core requirements. If you know that having three bathrooms is important for your happiness but the house only has two, keep shopping.

Don't let yourself fall in love with a home that doesn't match your needs. Regret may not set in immediately but when it does, the fix, like adding a bathroom, might cost you plenty.

Don't cave in to a partner or spouse. If you believe you will be unhappy in the new house, don't let your wife of husband talk you into buying it. It will only cause resentment.

Know your give-in points. Everyone house hunts with a wish list, but there are some items that can be compromised. Tiny kitchens might be a deal breaker if you are an avid cook but maybe you can live without a den.

Calculator: Was my home a good investment?

Don't get caught up in the heat of the moment. Overpaying is one of the biggest sources of remorse, especially if buyers get involved in a bidding war. Bidding against other buyers can be exciting and entice homebuyers to throw their budgets out the window. But sometimes, it becomes more about winning than how much the house is worth to you.

"Ask yourself, 'Do I really want the house or do I want to beat somebody else out?'" he said.

Don't lose your edge. Once a shopper makes the decision to purchase a home, they sometimes overlook major issues. If the inspector finds dry rot i! n the joi! sts or the appraisal comes in much lower than the sale price, stand your ground: either pull out of the deal or get the seller to lower the price to reflect the cost of the repairs.

Do your research. These days, there's a ton of information available on the web that can help you in your search for a new home. Sites like Trulia and Zillow offer all sorts of stats on the quality of school systems, walkability and access to restaurants, as well as crime, that will help you assess whether a neighborhood or area is right for you.

Thursday, October 23, 2014

10 Big-Name Stocks Going Ex-Dividend Next Week (Oct 27-31)

Ex-dividend dates are very important to dividend investors, since you must purchase a stock prior to its ex-dividend date in order to receive its upcoming dividend payout. For more information, check out Everything Investors Need to Know About Ex-Dividend Dates.

Below we highlight 10 big-name stocks going ex-dividend for the week of October 27-31.

1. Ford Motor CompanyF

Ford Motor Company (F) is set to trade ex-dividend on October 29. The automobile company offers a dividend yield of 3.54% based on Wednesday's closing price of $14.13 and the company's quarterly dividend payout of 12.5 cents. The stock is down 8% year-to-date. Dividend.com currently rates F as “Neutral” with a DARS™ rating of 3.4 stars out of 5 stars.

2. HasbroHAS

Hasbro (HAS) is set to trade ex-dividend on October 30. The toy company offers a dividend yield of 3.02% based on Wednesday's closing price of $56.91 and the company's quarterly dividend payout of 43 cents. The stock is up 3% year-to-date. Dividend.com currently rates HAS as “Neutral” with a DARS™ rating of 3.4 stars out of 5 stars.

3. Texas Instruments TXN

Texas Instruments (TXN) is set to trade ex-dividend on October 29. The technology company offers a dividend yield of 2.92% based on Wednesday's closing price of $46.62 and the company's quarterly dividend payout of 34 cents. The stock is up 6% year-to-date. Dividend.com currently rates TXN as “Neutral” with a DARS™ rating of 3.4 stars out of 5 stars.

4. Bank of MontrealBMO

Bank of Montreal (BMO) is set to trade ex-dividend on October 30. The financial services company offers a dividend yield of 3.99% based on Wednesday's closing price of $71.34 and the company's quarterly dividend payout of 78 cents. The stock is up 7% year-to-date. Dividend.com currently rates BMO as “Neutral” with a DARS™ rating of 3.4 stars out of 5 stars.

5. PaychexPAYX

Paychex (PAYX) is set to trade ex-dividend on October 30. The staffing company offers a dividend yield of 3.40% based on Wednesday's closing price of $44.71 and the company's quarterly dividend payout of 38 cents. The stock is down 2% year-to-date. Dividend.com currently rates PAYX as “Neutral” with a DARS™ rating of 3.4 stars out of 5 stars.

6. CloroxCLX

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Canada’s Disinflation Woes Are Over

Print Friendly

Shortly after last year's worry about what Canada's persistent disinflation might portend, the country's inflation rate started rising faster than expectations. Indeed, Canada's consumer price index (CPI) has now surpassed the consensus forecast for three consecutive months.

Although consumers often dread the prospect of rising prices, disinflation, or even outright deflation, can wreak far more havoc on an economy than inflation. And when a country is emerging from a period of economic weakness, inflation can be one of the first signs that an economy is revving up again.

According to Statistics Canada (StatCan), non-seasonally adjusted inflation rose 0.6 percent month over month, surpassing the consensus forecast by a substantial two-tenths of a percentage point, which was the same margin in each of the two prior months.

While Canada's inflation may be perking up, on a year-over-basis it's still toward the low end of the 1 percent to 3 percent target range that the Bank of Canada (BoC) uses to guide its monetary policy. The CPI rose 1.5 percent year over year in March, which was one-tenth of a point better than projected.

The goal of the BoC's monetary policy is to target the midpoint of the aforementioned range, though the CPI has not increased at a rate anywhere near 2 percent since April 2012. Instead, it's occupied the low end of the BoC's control range, even dipping below the 1 percent threshold seven times since November 2012, hence the central bank's concern about persistent disinflation.

Meanwhile, the core CPI, which excludes volatile items such as food and energy, climbed 1.3 percent year over year, which was in line with the consensus.

StatCan observed that the rise in CPI was led by energy prices, which climbed 4.6 percent year over year. In the BoC's latest Monetary Policy Report, the central bank said that the total CPI will likely outpace core CPI ! in the coming quarters due to higher energy prices at the consumer level.

Gasoline prices were up 1.4 percent, while the natural gas index increased 17.9 percent, following a 5.5 percent rise in February. Prices for electricity rose 5.0 percent, while prices for fuel oil increased 9.1 percent.

Of the eight major CPI components, six posted price gains on a year-over-year basis, particularly shelter, transportation and food.

Shelter costs were up 2.7 percent, after climbing 2.2 percent the previous month. StatCan notes that the increase in March was the largest since December 2010.

Prices for transportation rose 1.7 percent year over year, following a 0.4 percent rise in February.

And food prices were up 1.5 percent versus a year ago. Economists with CIBC World Markets expect food prices will continue to head higher in the coming months because key food-producing regions were disrupted by extreme winter weather. And the fact that Canada imports much of its food means that consumers will pay more due to the lower exchange rate.

The aforementioned BoC report was published just prior to the latest CPI data. However, the central bank's projections still seem in line with what the latest data suggest. While the bank believes core inflation will remain well below 2 percent at year end, it expects the total CPI to come much closer to its 2 percent target.

Even so, the BoC's near-term growth expectations have become somewhat more muted as of late, with its forecast for full-year 2014 gross domestic product (GDP) growth revised slightly lower to 2.3 percent from 2.5 percent.

The good news is that the lower estimate is largely the result of the unusually harsh winter's effect on first-quarter growth, rather than something more ominous. In the four quarters thereafter, the bank projects the economy will grow at a 2.5 percent rate, or even slightly higher.

In fact, the bank's forecast for full-year 2015 is for GDP growth of 2.5 percent. That's si! gnificant! because this rate was previously identified as the minimum growth necessary to remove excess capacity from the economy.

So Canada's economy is sustaining its upward trend, even if growth isn't quite as robust as we'd like it to be.

Sunday, October 19, 2014

The Retirement Reality Gap

Eggshells LJSphotography/Alamy The new post-Great Recession economy has taken its toll on retirees, as well as those of us looking forward to retirement in the near future. Unfortunately, there's something of a reality gap between what today's workers think about retirement and what actually happens in retirement. Here's a look at the perceptions and the realities. Today, many people plan to delay retirement. According to a 2013 survey by the Employee Benefit Research Institute of 1,000 individuals age 25 and older, some 22 percent of workers said the age at which they expect to retire has increased. Respondents cited a poor economy and the inability to afford retirement as their main reasons for the delay. Almost 10 percent of workers said they'll never retire. At the same time, the number of people expecting to retire early, before age 65, is just about half of what it was 20 years ago. The gap: People retire sooner than they expect. Almost half of retirees surveyed reported that they retired sooner than they had planned. Those who retired early cited a number of reasons. A few retired because they could afford it. But many more cited a layoff, health issue or disability. Baby boomers feel younger than they really are. According to a 2012 AARP-sponsored poll of 1,852 registered voters, including 1,331 age 50 and older, health and longevity are not topics that often come up in conversation among baby boomers. Only about half of those nearing retirement said they had discussed the issues of poor health, disability and death with their spouse or doctor. And according to a 2009 Pew Research Center survey of nearly 3,000 adults, boomers felt at least 10 years younger than their actual age. They peg "old age" at somewhere above 75. The gap: The biggest reason for early retirement is an unexpected health issue. According to the EBRI survey, 55 percent of those who retired earlier than planned say they did so because of a health problem. An unforeseen illness can disrupt your retirement dreams and cause other complications. For example, if you think you'll work until age 75, you might not consider things like long-term health insurance. According to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, someone turning 65 today has almost a 70 percent chance of needing long-term care services. Today's workers plan to work part time in retirement. Almost three quarters of people now holding a job said they expect to work after they retire to supplement their income, according to the EBRI survey. Over half admitted that they are counting on income from a part-time job to be a significant source of income in their later years. The gap: Only about 25 percent of retirees report that they are actually working in retirement. The reality is that many retirees want to keep working part time for their old employer, but their old employer doesn't need their services. Or they want to find a consulting job, but discover that their experience is not relevant in the current marketplace. Many find that the majority of help-wanted opportunities are minimum-wage jobs in retail or hospitality, and they decide not to work after all. If you do want to work part time in retirement, the best time to find the job is before you retire. Workers are aware that they are left largely to their own devices to save for retirement. Multiple surveys have shown that workers have lost faith in Social Security, know that defined-benefit retirement plans are on the wane and that they should take advantage of various retirement accounts such as 401(k) plans and individual retirement accounts. Major financial firms including Fidelity and Aon/Hewitt recommend saving up to 10 times your annual income, which along with Social Security should allow you to replace approximately 85 percent of your preretirement income. The gap: People fall far short of their savings targets. According to a 2013 study by the National Institute on Retirement Security, 45 percent of working-age households do not own any retirement account assets. And two-thirds of older households ages 55 to 64 have retirement savings of less than one time their annual income, which is far below what they need to maintain their standard of living. A little over a third of retirees say a pension provides a significant amount of their income. Still, some 70 percent of Americans credit Social Security for their main source of income, according to the EBRI survey. The solution. There is often a major difference between what people expect in retirement and what they actually get. As you go about planning your own retirement, pay attention to the gap -- the one that can be caused by a layoff, unexpected health issue or unfamiliar job market. And make plans to close that gap.

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

3 Stocks Spiking on Big Volume

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Professional traders running mutual funds and hedge funds don't just look at a stock's price moves; they also track big changes in volume activity. Often when above-average volume moves into an equity, it precedes a large spike in volatility. 


Must Read: 12 Stocks Warren Buffett Loves in 2014

Major moves in volume can signal unusual activity, such as insider buying or selling -- or buying or selling by "superinvestors."

Unusual volume can also be a major signal that hedge funds and momentum traders are piling into a stock ahead of a catalyst. These types of traders like to get in well before a large spike, so it's always a smart move to monitor unusual volume. That said, remember to combine trend and price action with unusual volume. Put them all together to help you decipher the next big trend for any stock.

With that in mind, let's take a look at several stocks rising on unusual volume recently.

Must Read: 10 Stocks George Soros Is Buying

New Jersey Resources

New Jersey Resources (NJR), an energy services holding company, provides retail and wholesale natural gas energy services. This stock closed up 3.4% at $52.22 in Monday's trading session.

Monday's Volume: 621,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 226,386

Volume % Change: 154%

From a technical perspective, NJR bounced higher here back above its 50-day moving average of $50.77 with above-average volume. This notable spike to the upside on Monday also pushed shares of NJR into breakout territory, since the stock took out or flirted with some near-term overhead resistance levels at $51.24 to $52.44. Market players should now look for a continuation move to the upside in the short-term if NJR manages to clear Monday's intraday high of $52.76 with strong upside volume flows.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in NJR as long as it's trending above its 200-day at $49.45 or above more key near-term support at $49.29 and then once it sustains a move or close above $52.76 with volume that hits near or above 226,386 shares. If that move starts soon, then NJR will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $55 to its 52-week high at $57.79.

Must Read: Warren Buffett's Top 10 Dividend Stocks

F5 Networks

F5 Networks (FFIV) develops, markets, and sells application delivery networking products that optimize the security, performance, and availability of network applications, servers, and storage systems. This stock closed up 1.8% at $109.11 in Monday's trading session.

Monday's Volume: 2.04 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 1.02 million

Volume % Change: 118%

From a technical perspective, FFIV spiked modestly higher here with above-average volume. This spike higher on Monday briefly pushed shares of FFIV back above its 50-day moving average of $120.01, before it closed just below that level at $109.11. Market players should now look for a continuation move to the upside in the short-term if FFIV manages to take out Monday's intraday high of $112.36 to some more near-term overhead resistance just under $114 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in FFIV as long as it's trending above Monday's intraday low of $106.82 and then once it sustains a move or close above those near-term overhead resistance levels with volume that's near or above 1.02 million shares. If that move gets started soon, then FFIV will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at its 50-day moving average of $120.01 to $123.55.

Must Read: 10 Stocks Billionaire John Paulson Loves in 2014

Sagent Pharmaceuticals

Sagent Pharmaceuticals (SGNT), a specialty pharmaceutical company, develops, sources, manufactures, and markets pharmaceutical products, principally injectable-based generic equivalents to branded products in the U.S. This stock closed up 4.9% at $32.81 in Monday's trading session.

Monday's Volume: 431,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 205,985

Volume % Change: 95%

From a technical perspective, SGNT bucked the market weakness on Monday and spiked sharply higher right above some near-term support at $31 with above-average volume. This strong action on Monday also pushed shares of SGNT into new 52-week-high territory, since the stock flirted with some near-term overhead resistance at $32.89. Shares of SGNT tagged an intraday high of $33.22, before it closed just below that level at $32.81. Market players should now look for a continuation move to the upside in the short-term if SGNT manages to take out Monday's intraday high of $33.22 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in SGNT as long as it's trending above some key near-term support levels at $31 or at $29 and then once it sustains a move or close above Monday's intraday high of $33.22 with volume that's near or above 205,985 shares. If that move develops soon, then SGNT will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that action are $35 to $40, or even $45.

Must Read: Sell These 5 Toxic Stocks Before the Next Drop

To see more stocks rising on unusual volume, check out the Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>5 Short-Squeeze Stocks Set to Soar on Bullish Earnings



>>Must-See Charts: 5 Big Stocks to Trade for Big Gains



>>3 Big Stocks to Buy in a Volatile Market

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Monday, October 13, 2014

Don't Let a Market Crash Destroy Your Retirement Dreams

The past week has left millions of Americans scared about their financial future, as stock market volatility has reared its head, with triple-digit moves in the Dow Jones Industrials (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) becoming an everyday event. As stocks have fallen sharply, you'll find all sorts of experts claiming to have the analysis that you need to weather the short-term bumps in the market. Yet while those so-called experts make their guesses about how far the Dow could fall, most of them have a gaping hole in their analysis that makes ordinary retirees and near-retirees ask one question: what does a potential market crash really mean for me?

The answer is simpler than you might think. If you're in or nearing retirement, then you need to ensure that you're properly insulated from too much market volatility, especially if you're counting on taking money out of your investment portfolio on a regular basis to cover income needs. As all too many people discovered in 2008, big drops in your portfolio can crush your plans for a happy retirement lifestyle.

But that doesn't mean you should panic now. All it requires is the sort of periodic reality check that smart investors make regularly no matter what the market's doing. By setting up some mental warning signs -- much like the way your car will warn you about potential problems -- you can make sure you're on top of the risks involved in your investments and stay in the driver's seat to keep your retirement planning on course rather than being a helpless bystander as your dreams go up in smoke.


Source: Wikimedia Commons, courtesy wikiuser100000.

Things change
If you want to succeed in investing, you need to have a plan. But good plans have to be flexible to adapt to changing conditions.

A good retirement plan is like a roadmap to guide you on a long trip. The map lets you choose the path you'd like to follow, and for long stretches of open road, you can put yourself on cruise control and keep making progress toward your destination. But you have to rely on the accuracy of the map. If it leaves out a road closure, you'll have to change course to find a detour that will get you where you want to go. Moreover, if heavy traffic or bad weather make your preferred route suddenly look less attractive, diverting to a better route is the smart thing to do before you get stuck in a situation you'd much rather avoid.

Your plan is your investment roadmap, and it has to accommodate all sorts of changes, both in your personal life and in events happening throughout the world. Smart investors see these changes and make appropriate updates to their course on their investment roadmap.

3 times to do regular maintenance on your investments
The challenge for many people, though, is how to know when to make changes to their retirement planning. Smart retirees have learned through experience that doing maintenance checks on their planning makes sense in three different situations:

Doing periodic maintenance. Just like changing the oil in your car every few months, checking up on your investments at regular intervals will help keep your retirement planning running smooth. You don't want to obsess over moves on a daily or weekly basis, but a once-a-year look will keep you focused on long-term goals. Consider: even with last week's plunge, the Dow is still up almost 9% over the past year. Addressing goal changes. Everyone faces new challenges in their lives, and they can have a big impact on your finances. For those nearing retirement, an unexpected layoff can throw your finances into turmoil unless you've made contingency plans for how to cope. Similarly, needing to help put your grandkids through school or dealing with a chronic illness can require some changes to your investments to make sure you have the money you need. Dealing with big market moves. From time to time, you'll see your portfolio thrown out of balance as your stocks, bonds, cash, and other assets move in different directions. Doing a special rebalancing at those times can help keep your risk levels stable while potentially taking advantage when future conditions improve.


Source: Wikimedia Commons, courtesy Regulator78.

The road to a happy and financially secure retirement isn't always easy to follow. But keeping your eyes on the road ahead and making sure you're still on course will make your ride toward retirement as smooth as possible.

1 way to boost your retirement prospects
Smart retirement investors know that dividend stocks simply crush their non-dividend paying counterparts over the long term. They also know that a well-constructed dividend portfolio creates wealth steadily, while still allowing you to sleep like a baby. Knowing how valuable such a portfolio might be, our top analysts put together a report on a group of high-yielding stocks that should be in any income investor's portfolio. To see our free report on these stocks, just click here.

Sunday, October 12, 2014

Gilead Sciences: FDA Approves All-Oral Hep-C Treatment, Price ‘Reasonable and Attractive’

Shares of Gilead Sciences (GILD) are ticking higher today after the FDA approved an all-oral form of its Hepatitis-C drug. RBC’s Michael Yeeand team consider the implications:

Gilead’s all-oral “Harvoni” was approved for 12 and 8 weeks at price of $94.5k (12wks) and $63k (8wks) as expected. We believe the price is very reasonable and attractive to payors as it is a significant discount to previous regimens that costs upwards of $100-140k when combined with IFN or Simeprevir. In fact, numerous abstracts at this year’s AASLD
meeting discuss the positive cost-effectiveness of [Ledipasvir/Sofosbuvir] through better health outcomes and the benefit of early treatment due to prevention of future liver complications (as opposed to prioritizing treatment to only pts with advanced disease). We don’t expect insurance to be an issue as well as payors have better planned their budgets for next year. Also by looking at a single-center example from AASLD abstract, 58% were prescribed Sof/Sim combo and 84% were approved for treatment, evenly split between private and gov’t insurance.

Shares of Gilead Sciences have gained 0.4% to $106.26 at 2:37 p.m. today.

Monday, October 6, 2014

Cadillac's Plan to Reclaim 'Standard of the World' Title

Auto Show AP/Paul SancyaCadillac's 2014 Elmiraj concept car is expected to lend much of its style to the brand's new high-end CT6 sedan in 2015. General Motors' (GM) Cadillac brand has made a lot of news lately. GM is turning its old luxury brand into a standalone division, moving its headquarters to New York, and launching a new naming scheme for its models. If it seems like a lot of fuss over a brand that has fallen far behind the German luxury-car leaders, it is. But GM isn't just looking to recapture the romance of a bygone era when Cadillac's "Standard of the World" ad tagline really meant something. As crazy as it might seem, behind the scenes, there are big moves being made to turn Cadillac into a global luxury-car leader. Here's what GM has in mind. A New Future That Looks Back to the Best of Cadillac's Past For starters, forget everything you know about Cadillac. Forget the cushy seats and wire wheels and whitewall tires that marked Cadillacs of old, and forget the idea that Cadillacs are cars aimed at retired folks and nobody else. Forget all of that. But forget what Cadillac stood for once upon a time. Years ago -- like, 50 years ago -- Cadillac offered a uniquely brash, American take on real high-end luxury. Back then, Cadillacs were very expensive, but they were also bold, optimistic, and sophisticated -- the three "values" that Cadillac's marketing chief says the brand will now reclaim and build upon. Cadillac's global chief marketing officer, Uwe Ellinghaus, is a longtime BMW (BAMXF) executive who was hired by GM last year to help take the brand in a new direction. He told the Detroit News this week that the "Cadillac point of view" will become clear in a new ad campaign that will begin early next year -- starting when an all-new range-topping sedan is unveiled in January. But this isn't about copying the German brands, Ellinghaus says. As he told the Detroit News, "If you buy an Audi, Mercedes or BMW, you show that you fit into the premium luxury norm. This is the foreseeable car, the expected car in your neighborhood. Whereas with a Cadillac, it's more about ." [Emphasis added.] If that sounds like a big change for Cadillac, that's because it is. But it's driven by sound business reasons: A thriving luxury brand can be a huge source of profits for a global automaker, and GM CEO Mary Barra is pushing hard to increase GM's profit margins. Getting Cadillac to the point where it is taken seriously by BMW and Audi owners -- not just in the U.S., but also in China and eventually even in Europe -- could take years. But the process is already well underway. GM Has Given Cadillac's New Boss a Lot of Leeway Cadillac has a brand-new boss. Audi and Infiniti veteran Johan de Nysschen joined GM in August as Cadillac's president, and he has wasted no time laying out his vision for where Cadillac ought to go. For a while now, Cadillac has been struggling with an interesting problem. The brand's latest models, the CTS and ATS sedans and the new Escalade, really competitive with the best in the world. The all-new-for-2014 CTS sedan was Motor Trend's Car of the Year, and it has won numerous comparison tests against Mercedes-Benz's E-Class and BMW's 5-Series. But sales have been sluggish, and data shows that the new Cadillacs aren't getting consideration from BMW and Mercedes owners. That highlighted the problem: Having products that were on par with the German luxury leaders was only the first step -- now, Cadillac needs to fix its brand. That's where de Nysschen comes in. De Nysschen spent two decades at Audi, and he was a key part of that brand's efforts to separate its image from that of its corporate parent, Volkswagen Group (VLKAY), and elevate itself to the level of BMW and Mercedes. It's no surprise that he's drawing on Audi's playbook at Cadillac. The brand's planned move to New York isn't intended as an affront to Detroit, it's about creating a sense of separation -- so that Cadillac's people can focus intensely on , without distraction from the rest of General Motors. That laser-like focus is what's needed to succeed as a global luxury brand, he has said. More New Cadillacs Are Headed to Dealers. But Will Buyers Follow? Cadillac also needs a slew of new products, and they're coming. The next Cadillac, a high-end sedan that will slot above the CTS and XTS, will be revealed in January. It'll be called the CT6 and its styling is likely to draw on that of last year's stunning Cadillac Elmiraj concept car. Beyond that, there will be new crossover SUVs, new engines and high-tech features that will be exclusive to Cadillac -- and possibly an even bigger and grander sedan, de Nysschen has hinted. Of course, all of these new Cadillacs aren't just better-built and more luxurious than recent cars from the brand, they're more expensive. That has been a shock for some of Cadillac's longtime customers -- and for its dealers. Cadillac's dealers will have to adjust to selling fewer cars at higher prices -- and to providing the kind of service that Mercedes and BMW buyers expect. That, like everything else with Cadillac's move, will take time and money and patience. But de Nysschen's new bosses, Barra and GM president Dan Ammann, have made it clear that Cadillac will be given the time and money it needs to succeed. The rest? That's up to the market. When you get into that back office and start signing all the paperwork, the topic of extended warranties will come up pretty quickly. Ellie Kay, an author of 15 finance-related books, notes that such warranties are negotiable. "Before you sign on the dotted line, check out other sources of extended warranty pricing," she says, such as those provided by your bank or insurance company. "Then either use this lower price in the financial and insurance office for negotiation to get them to match the price, or buy it from the other source." A scenario from Kay during her last car purchase: "The dealer quoted me $4,200 for a three-year extended warranty for my 280SLK Roadster Mercedes that included a $250 deductible. USAA -- my insurance company -- gave me a three-year warranty for $3,200 with zero deductible. I've used the new warranty once already. The bill was $1,100 and I paid nothing because of the zero deductible." Bottom line: The default extended warranty is almost always the worst deal. 1. You'll get the dealer's extended warranty You may have a monthly payment figure in your head when shopping for a new car, but your interests are better served when you focus on the out-the-door price instead. "A sales rep can often trick you by offering a lower monthly payment, but [one that] will stretch out the terms of the loan," says David Bakke, a car buying expert at MoneyCrashers.com. You can reduce the overall cost of the car via negotiation and by skipping accessories and add-ons. "Things like navigation systems, rims, floor mats or car audio/entertainment systems can be purchased from a third party vendor, usually for less."